Every fill, and the reasoning that came first

The claim is published on chain before the trade, and the evidence is hashed into the receipt. Losses stay on this page as long as the wins do.

Weighted shortfall
15 bps
over the 19 fills that were measured
Evidence
16 of 21
carry a hash stamped on chain
Published first
7 of 21
reasoning on chain before the fill

Theses

5 published, 7 of 21 receipts carry one
  • thesis #4
    published 2026-08-19 09:58Z
    published before every fill
    • wSPYx100.00%0.49925 USDG
    0.49925 USDG
    1 entry · 0 exits
    5 bps weighted
    receipts
    #20
  • thesis #3
    published 2026-08-19 09:50Z
    nothing has executed against it
      no record yet
    • thesis #2
      published 2026-08-12 01:49Z
      published before every fill
      • wTSLAx60.00%0.29955 USDG
      • wNVDAx40.00%0.1997 USDG
      0.49925 USDG
      2 entries · 0 exits
      10 bps weighted
      receipts
      #7#8
    • thesis #1
      published 2026-08-12 01:33Z
      published before every fill
      • wQQQx55.55%0.249625 USDG
      • wNVDAx44.44%0.1997 USDG
      0.449325 USDG
      2 entries · 0 exits
      34 bps weighted
      receipts
      #5#6

    Receipts

    21 settled
    wSPYx
    receipt #20 · entry
    5 bps
    against fair value
    0.49925 USDG
    at 772.1474 · gap 4
    thesis #4
    2026-08-19 09:59Z
    wNVDAx
    receipt #19 · exit
    1 bps
    against fair value
    0.505896 USDG
    at 221.0420 · gap 8
    2026-08-19 08:23Z
    wNVDAx
    receipt #18 · entry
    24 bps
    against fair value
    0.49925 USDG
    at 219.5143 · gap 10
    2026-08-19 06:35Z
    wTSLAx
    receipt #17 · exit
    unmeasured
    the oracle had no value to compare against
    0.06798 USDG
    at 339.9000 · gap 9
    2026-08-14 06:09Z
    wTSLAx
    receipt #16 · exit
    unmeasured
    the oracle had no value to compare against
    0.169961 USDG
    at 339.9220 · gap 9
    2026-08-14 06:02Z
    wSPYx
    receipt #15 · entry
    0 bps
    against fair value
    0.49925 USDG
    at 776.8877 · gap 4
    thesis #0
    2026-08-12 12:17Z
    wTSLAx
    receipt #14 · entry
    5 bps
    against fair value
    0.5991 USDG
    at 334.3215 · gap 9
    2026-08-12 09:56Z
    wSPYx
    receipt #13 · exit
    4 bps
    against fair value
    0.439802 USDG
    at 776.5753 · gap 4
    2026-08-12 09:40Z
    wSPYx
    receipt #12 · exit
    4 bps
    against fair value
    0.949575 USDG
    at 776.5773 · gap 4
    2026-08-12 09:40Z
    wTSLAx
    receipt #11 · exit
    11 bps
    against fair value
    0.799106 USDG
    at 334.0589 · gap 9
    2026-08-12 09:39Z
    wNVDAx
    receipt #10 · exit
    17 bps
    against fair value
    0.399281 USDG
    at 219.8611 · gap 9
    2026-08-12 09:39Z
    wQQQx
    receipt #9 · exit
    12 bps
    against fair value
    0.249676 USDG
    at 724.3661 · gap 6
    2026-08-12 09:39Z
    wNVDAx
    receipt #8 · entry
    27 bps
    against fair value
    0.1997 USDG
    at 218.2027 · gap 15
    thesis #2
    2026-08-12 01:51Z
    wTSLAx
    receipt #7 · entry
    0 bps
    against fair value
    0.29955 USDG
    at 332.9115 · gap 16
    thesis #2
    2026-08-12 01:50Z
    wNVDAx
    receipt #6 · entry
    28 bps
    against fair value
    0.1997 USDG
    at 218.2026 · gap 15
    thesis #1
    2026-08-12 01:47Z
    wQQQx
    receipt #5 · entry
    39 bps
    against fair value
    0.249625 USDG
    at 721.4923 · gap 6
    thesis #1
    2026-08-12 01:47Z

    Integrity

    Orphaned hashes
    none

    A fill stamped a thesis hash that was never published. This should always be zero.

    Receipts with no evidence
    5 of 21

    Nothing about these can be checked by anyone, now or later.

    Unmeasured fills
    2

    Sold with a stale oracle, so no shortfall was measured. Their zero is not a good price.

    Oracle admin
    a 2-of-3 Safe

    Read the verified source and call admin() yourself. Who administers the oracle is provenance.